Alpha factors and signals

What is an alpha factor?

3 min

An alpha factor is a measurable characteristic of an asset that is associated with future returns. 'Alpha' is the return a strategy earns beyond what the market gives you for free; a factor is a systematic, repeatable source of it.

Factor versus signal

  • A factor is the underlying characteristic — for example, 'cheapness' or 'recent strength'.
  • A signal is the concrete, computed number you trade on — for example, a rank of every stock by its price-to-earnings ratio this morning.

A factor becomes a signal once you define exactly how to measure it, on what universe, and how often you refresh it.

Where factors come from

Two broad justifications, and both matter:

  • Risk-based — the factor pays a premium because it carries a real risk that investors must be compensated for bearing (value stocks may be cheap because they are genuinely riskier).
  • Behavioural — the factor pays because of persistent human biases (investors chronically overreact or underreact), creating mispricings that are slow to correct.

A factor with a credible economic reason to exist is far more likely to survive than one found by blindly mining data. A pattern with no story is probably noise.

The decay problem

Once a factor is published and widely known, more capital chases it and the premium shrinks — sometimes vanishing entirely. Alpha is competitive and perishable. The factors in the next lessons are the classic, well-documented ones; their existence is not in doubt, but their richness today is far thinner than when they were discovered.

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Risk disclaimer

This content is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment, financial, tax or legal advice. Trading and investing carry risk, including the possible loss of capital. Any performance shown by third-party tools is hypothetical and not a promise of future results. Do your own research and consider professional advice before making any decision.